The emerging markets index has jumped 17 percent in 2007, but MSCI World Index only gained 8.2 percent gain.
My view is that valuations are not super-attractive as these markets have run up quite a lot. Therefore, while it is not expensive in my view, it is not cheap either, and a correction in the market is possible in the near term.
If we take a look at the STI chart, the STI has broken the uptrend line, which means that chance for a correction is getting higher. A likely situation is that the STI will trade higher to “kiss” the uptrend line before making a bigger correction down.
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He also predicted that the mortgage loan problem in the USA will cause world recession. It did not happen.
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